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Today in Apple history: Bill Gates predicts doom for Apple’s biggest product

Posted on May 13th, 2017 at 0:42 by John Sinteur in category: News -- Write a comment

[May 12, 2005:]

“As good as Apple may be, I don’t believe the success of the iPod is sustainable in the long run,” Gates told the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. “You can make parallels with computers: Apple was very strong in this field before, with its Macintosh and its graphics user interface — like the iPod today — and then lost its position.”

Gates went on to describe how the rise of cellphones, capable of doing much of what an iPod can do, would destroy the market for MP3 players.

Bill was TOTALLY right with this prediction.

  1. Microsoft was way ahead at the time. Windows CE debuted in 1996; Windows Mobile debuted in April 2000.

    And more generally, Microsoft had been working to adapt Windows to smaller-form-factor devices for a decade – its support for stylus. handwriting, and voice interfaces date predate Windows XP. And shortly after this interview, Microsoft embarked on a major venture into palmtop computing, known as “ultra-mobile PCs,” or Project Origami – which was supposed to revolutionize the mobile space.

    The problem was that the end products sucked. All of them.

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